Welcome to the Southeast Florida Market Update for the year-end of 2023, where we delve into the performance of the real estate market in Southeast Florida over the past year and provide insights into what lies ahead in 2024. In this comprehensive analysis, we’ll examine key trends, market dynamics, and notable developments that shaped the real estate landscape in the region throughout 2023. Furthermore, we’ll offer a detailed outlook for 2024, highlighting potential opportunities, challenges, and factors influencing the SE Florida real estate market in the upcoming year. Join us as we navigate through the highs and lows of 2023 and explore what the future holds for real estate investors, homebuyers, and industry stakeholders in Southeast Florida.
The Southeast Florida Real Estate Market has continued in 2023 to appreciate in value over the previous year. Median Sales Prices in the Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach Metro Statistical Area (MSA) appreciated year-over-year across all asset types (single family homes, condos, townhomes, etc.) by +8.2% overall, however, quarter-over-quarter Median Sales Prices plateaued during Q2 and Q3 and declined slightly in Q4.
In terms of Closed Sales -a key indicator for market activity – the market experienced a more significant slow-down. The market came to seemingly halt when the number of Closed Sales hit a10-year-low in Q4-2023 – with the exception of Q2-2020 when the Covid-Pandemic temporarily froze the market.
Bottom Line: Despite year-over-year price growth, we’re seeing early indicators of a market deceleration with Median Sales Pricesstalling and the number of Closed Sales declining during 2023.
Southeast Florida 2024 Market Outlook
Buyers’ activity in Q1-2024 appears improved over Q4-2023, most likely fueled by lower interest rates and due to improved seasonal effects. We’re expecting market activity to increase throughout February and peaking in March for Q1-2024. Overall, it appears more buyers and in particular more investors are returning to the market in 2024.
See charts below for more information or download our detailed Southeast Florida Market Update 2024 market analysis and forecast for Southeast Florida
While the information above describes a general trend, it’s important to consider individual neighborhood micro markets and asset types to derive any sales or buying strategy. Contact us for a more personalized analysis.
Maximilian and his team are an experienced, top-rated Real Estate service firm with deep market knowledge in Southeast Florida. Past customers have appreciated their Power Play Marketing approach. Call or text for a free consultation: 561-501-1873.
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This publication does not constitute an offer to sell, or the solicitation of an offer to buy, any securities or any interests in any investment products advised by, or the advisory services of, Maximilian Stalinski PA (“MSPA”). This publication has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of recipients and under no circumstances is this publication on its own intended to be, or serves as, investment advice. The discussions set forth in this publication are intended for informational purposes only, do not constitute investment advice and are subject to correction, completion and amendment without notice. Further, nothing herein constitutes legal or tax advice. Prior to making any investment, an investor should consult with its own investment, accounting, legal and tax advisers to independently evaluate the risks, consequences and suitability of that investment.
The Palm Beach County real estate market continues to be hot. “Competition among buyers has been stiff, leading to a 33.3 percent drop to 14 median days on market,” said Karen Johnson, President of Broward, Palm Beaches & St. Lucie Realtors®.
CDOM (Cumulative Days on Market) or DOM (Days on Market) are a measure of the time a home sits on the market before entering closing. With international buyers entering the Florida market again and more Snowbirds hunting for housing, the median sale price increased to $500,000 in October, a 19% jump over previous year. The median percent of original list price received in October was 98.7 percent, indicating strong buyer’s demand.
Median sale price is our preferred summary statistic for price activity, because unlike average sale price, median sale price is not sensitive to high sale prices for small numbers of homes that may not be characteristic of the market area.
Maximilian Dollar Listings is an experienced, top-rated Real Estate service firm with deep market knowledge in Southern Florida. It would be our pleasure to guide you through your home buying experience.
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This news article was first published on https://rworld.com/blog/pbc-october-2021
This website and other content herein are made available by Maximilian Dollar Listings solely for informational purposes. The information, statements, comments, views, and opinions expressed in this website do not constitute and should not be construed as an offer to buy or sell any real estate or securities or to make or consider any investment or course of action. The information, statements, comments, views, and opinions provided in this website are general in nature, and such information, statements, comments, views, and opinions are not intended to be and should not be construed as the provision of investment advice by Maximilian Dollar Listings.
Chief Economist of Redfin, Daryl Fairweather, predicts there will be a rush to buy homes at the start of the year to take advantage of the market before mortgage rates rise. That early run on homes will not only emphasize the seller’s market environment we’re in Southern Florida, it will also deplete the inventory of homes for sale. In the second half of the year, he predicts new construction will boost sales slightly. In 2022, there will be 1% more sales than in 2021, and by the end of the year, home price growth will slow to 3%.
Below are some of his top projections for 2022:
Mortgage rates will rise to 3.6%, bringing price growth down to earth
New listings will hit a 10-year high, which will hardly make a dent in the ongoing supply shortage
Rents will increase by 7%
Homebuyers will relocate to affordable cities
Homebuyers will take climate risks seriously when choosing a home
Maximilian Dollar Listings is an experienced, top-rated Real Estate service firm with deep market knowledge in Southern Florida. It would be our pleasure to guide you through your home buying experience.
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This news article was first published on www.lbmjournal.com/redfin-economist-looks-ahead-to-2022-housing-market/
This website and other content herein are made available by Maximilian Dollar Listings solely for informational purposes. The information, statements, comments, views, and opinions expressed in this website do not constitute and should not be construed as an offer to buy or sell any real estate or securities or to make or consider any investment or course of action. The information, statements, comments, views, and opinions provided in this website are general in nature, and such information, statements, comments, views, and opinions are not intended to be and should not be construed as the provision of investment advice by Maximilian Dollar Listings.
From 2020 to 2021, home prices rose by nearly 20% – an astonishing rate of growth that even outpaced growth rates from 2008 in the run-up to the housing crash. Naturally this begs the question: are we headed for the next bubble?
As we’re moving into the homestretch of 2021, Fannie Mae predicts that home prices will rise by 7.9% between the fourth quarter of this year and the same time next year at the end of 2022. An annual growth rate of nearly 8% would be a considered a slowdown compared to growth we’ve witnessed over the last 12 months or so, however, 7.9% is nearly double the average historical growth rate. Since 1987, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, home prices have grown by an average of 4.1% per year.
Other industry heavyweights like Zillow and Goldman Sachs predict an even more bullish market in 2022: While Zillow predicts U.S. home prices to increase by 13.9% from October 2021 to October 2022, the investment bank foresees home prices climbing 16% by the end of 2022. Even the most bearish forecast, published by CoreLogic, expects a 1.9% price growth over the next 12 months.
What continues to drive the demand?
Unlike the housing market in 2008, post-Covid housing market is not fueled by wide-spread speculation and built on shaky lending standards. This present housing market is driven by a number of factors:
The largest generation alive, Millennials, are finally entering their first-time home-buying age. A huge group of buyers is about to enter the arena
Primarily at the beginning of the pandemic record-low interest rates made the purchase of more expensive housing segments more affordable
Huge gains in stock markets and Government aid flushed the market with cash, which many decided to re-invest in Real Estate
All of this came at a time when the U.S. housing market had already been consistently underserved. After the Great Recession, new housing starts plummeted and hovered on low levels until finally in 2021 growing back to where it used to be back in 2000!
To put the data into a wider context: since the year 2000, U.S. population has grown from 281 million to 331 million residents in 2020. That’s a net gain of 50 million people. At the same time, housing starts since 2000 have averaged ~ 1.3 million per year, which over 20 years add up to roughly 26 million new housing starts – that’s only half of the net population growth in the same period.
The obvious consequence of all these factors? A dramatic shortage of housing inventory, across all segments as the chart below shows:
The bottom line: There are simply not enough homes on the market to satisfy demand. We’re currently experiencing a seller’s market and unless something dramatic changes, this market environment is here to stay! As Goldman Sachs and other industry heavyweights have pointed out we will most likely not continue to see sales prices grow 20% year-over-year, however, every indicator points towards a continuation of strong price increases in 2022 and most likely for the near mid-term future, albeit at a slower pace.
Despite a very competitive environment, we at The MDL Group believe that interested buyers should consider not delaying home purchase plans. As we have pointed out in our analysis, many key indicators suggest a very strong, demographic-driven demand going forward. Rising inflation adds another layer of complexity to the mix which would make it seem even more favorable to purchase a home rather sooner than later.
Maximilian Dollar Listings is an experienced, top-rated Real Estate service firm with deep market knowledge in Southern Florida. It would be our pleasure to guide you through your home buying experience.
Make it a Maximilian Dollar Listing!
This website and other content herein are made available by Maximilian Dollar Listings solely for informational purposes. The information, statements, comments, views, and opinions expressed in this website do not constitute and should not be construed as an offer to buy or sell any real estate or securities or to make or consider any investment or course of action. The information, statements, comments, views, and opinions provided in this website are general in nature, and such information, statements, comments, views, and opinions are not intended to be and should not be construed as the provision of investment advice by Maximilian Dollar Listings.
